BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Florida Atlantic

Class: 1A Class Rank: 112 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  140.52
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/30/2025 Away    L   * 125.36   7  39   1A  69 ( 4- 8) Maryland              -15.42     -9.51  -16.58                      
 2 09/06/2025 Home    W     143.65  56  14   1B 116 ( 5- 7) Florida A&M             2.87 *    7.39   39.13                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L   * 133.52  28  38   1A 108 ( 7- 6) Florida Int'l          -7.26     -1.80   -2.74                      
 4 09/27/2025 Home    L * * 126.55  26  55   1A  64 ( 8- 5) Memphis               -14.23    -29.58  -14.77                      
 5 10/04/2025 Away    W * * 143.38  27  21   1A 125 ( 5- 8) Rice                    2.60     -7.62    3.40                      
 6 10/11/2025 Home    W * * 156.63  53  33   1A 116 ( 4- 8) Alabama-Birmingham     15.85     -0.32    4.15                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * * 136.08  13  48   1A  25 ( 9- 4) South Florida          -4.70    -42.45  -30.30                      
 8 10/25/2025 Away    L * * 147.94  32  42   1A  66 (11- 2) Navy                    7.16    -14.71  -17.16                      
 9 11/08/2025 Home    W * * 159.29  40  21   1A 105 ( 4- 8) Tulsa                  18.51     -1.12    0.49                      
10 11/15/2025 Away    L * * 150.23  24  35   1A  54 (11- 3) Tulane                  9.45    -18.07  -20.45                      
11 11/22/2025 Home    L   * 145.22  45  48   1A  86 ( 9- 4) Connecticut             4.44     -7.04   -7.44                      
12 11/29/2025 Home    L * * 121.52   3  42   1A  43 ( 9- 4) East Carolina         -19.27    -13.83  -19.73                      
      Averages             140.78  29.5 36.3

Best game:  159.29 = 19 point win over Tulsa
Worst game: 121.52 = 39 point loss to East Carolina
Team stdev:  12.27